WNBA player props today: Sunday's best props include NaLyssa Smith [7/5/2026]

NaLyssa Smith under 7.5 rebounds (-140)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 66.1%
• Projection: 4.4
• Game: Fever vs. Aces (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Las Vegas' NaLyssa Smith under 7.5 rebounds. A probability of 66.1% gives this play an edge of 7.8% at -140 odds.

Marina Mabrey under 22.5 points scored (-104)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Projection: 18.5
• Game: Wings vs. Tempo (3:00PM ET)

Marina Mabrey’s points scored prop shows a 7.1% edge at -104 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 18.5 points scored on the under 22.5 line.

Jackie Young under 20.5 points scored (-120)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Projection: 16.7
• Game: Fever vs. Aces (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jackie Young under 20.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 57.8% probability and a 3.2% edge at -120.

Chelsea Gray under 14.5 points scored (-120)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Projection: 10.8
• Game: Fever vs. Aces (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Chelsea Gray to put up 10.8 points scored today, creating an edge of 3.0% on the under 14.5 line at -120 odds.

Jackie Young under 5.5 rebounds (-130)

• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Projection: 4.2
• Game: Fever vs. Aces (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jackie Young under 5.5 rebounds for Las Vegas, showing an edge of 1.0% at -130 odds.

Monique Billings under 5.5 rebounds (-130)

• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Projection: 4.2
• Game: Fever vs. Aces (7:00PM ET)

Monique Billings’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 1.0% at -130 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.2 today.

Jessica Shepard under 11.5 rebounds (-110)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Projection: 10.2
• Game: Wings vs. Tempo (3:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jessica Shepard for 10.2 rebounds for Dallas, creating an edge of 5.1% on under 11.5 at -110 odds.

Marina Mabrey under 3.5 3-pointers made (-128)

• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Wings vs. Tempo (3:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Marina Mabrey for 2.8 3-pointers made, creating value on the under 3.5 line at -128 odds and a 1.2% edge.

Paige Bueckers under 21.5 points scored (-106)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Projection: 18.9
• Game: Wings vs. Tempo (3:00PM ET)

A 4.0% edge on the under 3.5 points scored line makes Paige Bueckers a value play in Wings vs. Tempo, with our model projecting her for 18.9 points scored at -106 odds.

Arike Ogunbowale over 12.5 points scored (-104)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Projection: 14.7
• Game: Wings vs. Tempo (3:00PM ET)

Simulations project Arike Ogunbowale for 14.7 points scored here, creating a 3.8% edge on the over 12.5 line at -104 odds.

WNBA player prop summary: Sunday, July 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:33AM ET:

Conclusion

For July 5, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as NaLyssa Smith, Marina Mabrey and Jackie Young. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.