Jul 5, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Independence Day best props include Flau'jae Johnson [7/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for Independence Day, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Flau'jae Johnson, Bridget Carleton and Sarah Ashlee Barker.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including today's Fire vs. Storm clash, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Saturday, 7/4
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 4, ranked by probability.
Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds (-135)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 58.3%
- Projection: 4.0
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Seattle's Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 58.3% gives this play an edge of 0.9% at -135 odds.
Bridget Carleton under 13.5 points scored (-120)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Projection: 10.2
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Bridget Carleton’s points scored prop shows a 2.4% edge at -120 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 10.2 points scored on the under 13.5 line.
Flau'jae Johnson under 12.5 points scored (+102)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Projection: 11.7
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Flau'jae Johnson under 12.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 51.7% probability and a 2.2% edge at +102.
Sarah Ashlee Barker over 4.5 rebounds (+114)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 49.8%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Sarah Ashlee Barker to record 4.4 rebounds today, creating an edge of 3.0% on the over 4.5 line at +114 odds.
Emily Engstler over 5.5 rebounds (+105)
- Edge: 0.1%
- Probability: 48.9%
- Projection: 5.3
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Emily Engstler over 5.5 rebounds for Portland, showing an edge of 0.1% at +105 odds.
Awa Fam over 5.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 1.4%
- Probability: 45.3%
- Projection: 4.6
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Awa Fam’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 1.4% at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.6 today.
Carla Leite to score first basket (+800)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 12.0%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Carla Leite to score first basket for Portland, with a 12.0% probability and a 0.9% edge at +800 odds.
Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket (+1400)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 11.8%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket, supported by a 11.8% probability at +1400 odds and an edge of 5.1%.
Natisha Hiedeman to score first basket (+1000)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 11.2%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
A 2.1% edge on the to score first basket line makes Natisha Hiedeman a value play in Fire vs. Storm, supported by a 11.2% probability at +1000 odds.
Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket (+940)
- Edge: 0.3%
- Probability: 9.9%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket here, with a 9.9% probability and 0.3% edge at +940 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Saturday, July 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:58PM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds | -135 @ ESPN BET | 0.9% | 58.3% |
| Bridget Carleton under 13.5 points scored | -120 @ FanDuel | 2.4% | 56.9% |
| Flau'jae Johnson under 12.5 points scored | +102 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 49.8% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker over 4.5 rebounds | +114 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 49.8% |
| Emily Engstler over 5.5 rebounds | +105 @ ESPN BET | 0.1% | 48.9% |
| Awa Fam over 5.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 1.4% | 45.3% |
| Carla Leite to score first basket | +800 @ BetMGM | 0.9% | 12.0% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket | +1400 @ BetMGM | 5.1% | 11.8% |
| Natisha Hiedeman to score first basket | +1000 @ FanDuel | 2.1% | 11.2% |
| Flau'jae Johnson to score first basket | +940 @ DraftKings | 0.3% | 9.9% |
Boost your betting success with Dimers Pro's WNBA prop picks
Curious about the added power of our WNBA prop picks with Dimers Pro? Watch this explainer video to see how you can elevate your betting strategy and maximize your winning potential.
Conclusion
For July 4, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Flau'jae Johnson, Bridget Carleton and Sarah Ashlee Barker. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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