Sky vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Friday's WNBA game [7/3/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sky and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Aces a 64.4% chance of defeating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+7.5) have a 63.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 68.4% chance of staying under,.

Sky vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Aces
Spread	+7.5 (-114)	-7.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+220	-265
Total	o181.5 (-105)	u181.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +7.5	-114
Moneyline	Sky	+220
Total	Under 181.5	-112

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Aces player props

Looking for Sky vs. Aces WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at T-Mobile Arena.

Skylar Diggins-Smith is expected to lead the Sky with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 31 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kamilla Cardoso striking first with a 15.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Diggins-Smith	15	3	6	1	33
Kamilla Cardoso	15	9	3	0	34
Natasha Cloud	12	4	4	1	27
Azura Stevens	9	6	2	1	22
Gabriela Jaquez	8	3	1	1	16

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	31	11	4	2	62
Jackie Young	18	5	6	2	38
Chennedy Carter	12	2	2	0	21
Chelsea Gray	11	4	7	2	33
Jewell Loyd	10	3	1	2	21

Sky vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Aces and Sky at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 64.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Friday's WNBA matchup.

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