Jul 3, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 3, 2026
Read Article Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Wings vs. Sun play [7/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, July 2, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for July 2, 2026 are here, with Wings vs. Sun and Storm vs. Mercury among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [7/2, updated 7:40PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 2, 2026.
Wings vs. Sun Under 171.5 points (-102)
- Edge: 15.6%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Sun (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 171.5 points in Wings vs. Sun at -102 odds. A 66.1% probability produces an edge of 15.6%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Mercury ML (-160)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 68.6%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Mercury ML carries a 7.1% edge and a probability of 68.6% at -160 odds, according to our model.
Sun +6.5 (+104)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Sun (8:00PM ET)
Sun +6.5 vs. Wings at +104 odds shows a 7.1% edge, supported by a 56.1% probability in simulations.
Mercury -4.5 (+106)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 51.4%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 2.9% edge and 51.4% probability makes Mercury -4.5 vs. Storm a value play in the Storm vs. Mercury matchup, per our model.
Sun ML (+245)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 31.6%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Sun (8:00PM ET)
Sun ML at +245 odds presents a 2.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 31.6%.
Storm vs. Mercury Under 168.5 points (+102)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 52.1%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Under 168.5 points in Storm vs. Mercury at +102 odds, supported by an edge of 2.6%.
WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 7/2/2026
As of 7:40PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings vs. Sun | Under 171.5 points | -102 @ Polymarket | 15.6% | 66.1% |
| Storm vs. Mercury | Mercury ML | -160 @ Novig | 7.1% | 68.6% |
| Wings vs. Sun | Sun +6.5 | +104 @ Novig | 7.1% | 56.1% |
| Storm vs. Mercury | Mercury -4.5 vs. Storm | +106 @ Novig | 2.9% | 51.4% |
| Wings vs. Sun | Sun ML | +245 @ Novig | 2.8% | 31.6% |
| Storm vs. Mercury | Under 168.5 Points | +102 @ Novig | 2.6% | 52.1% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [7/2/2026]
- Wings vs. Sun (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for July 2, 2026, featuring plays such as under 171.5 points in the Wings vs. Sun matchup and Mercury ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
