Jul 3, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 3, 2026
Read Article Wings vs. Sun prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [7/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Connecticut Sun and Dallas Wings will lock horns in the WNBA at PeoplesBank Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Wings as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Sun game.
The Sun, who have star players like Brittney Griner, Aaliyah Edwards and Aneesah Morrow, will face off against the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 20 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Wings and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Wings a 68.4% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+6.5) have a 55.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 points has a 66.1% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-115) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -280 | +250 |
| Total | o171.5 (-114) | u171.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +250 |
| Total | Under 171.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 171.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Sun player props
Looking for Wings vs. Sun WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PeoplesBank Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 39 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 39 |
| Azzi Fudd | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Leila Lacan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Wings vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Sun and Wings at PeoplesBank Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: PeoplesBank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 68.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
