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Read Article Storm vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [7/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Monday.
WNBA action continues on Monday at 10:00 PM ET as the Seattle Storm take on the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, who have the likes of Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins, are set to take on the Storm, featuring Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA game between the Storm and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Sparks a 66.6% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Sparks (-4.5) have a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 174.5 points has a 61.1% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Sparks odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-115) | -4.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +145 | -170 |
| Total | o174.5 (-106) | u174.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks -4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | -170 |
| Total | Under 174.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Sparks player props
WNBA player props are a great way to wager on the Seattle vs. Los Angeles game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 21 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dominique Malonga as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 36 |
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Awa Fam | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 42 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 39 |
| Ariel Atkins | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Erica Wheeler | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Storm vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Sparks and Storm at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 66.6% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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