Fire vs. Fever prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [5/20/2026]
Get Portland Fire vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Wednesday.

The Indiana Fever will face the Portland Fire in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Fever game.
The Fever, with the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Monique Billings, will face off against the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Luisa Geiselsoder and Bridget Carleton.
Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 79% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 63% chance of staying under.
Fire vs. Fever odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-106) | -9.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +360 | -425 |
| Total | o175.5 (-110) | u175.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +9.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +360 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -108 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Fever player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Fire vs. Fever game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 10 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 22 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fever.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| B. Carleton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| Emily Engstler | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Nyadiew Puoch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Aliyah Boston | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| M. Billings | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Tyasha Harris | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
Fire vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Fever and Fire at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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