Best WNBA bets today: Wednesday's picks include Mercury vs. Sparks play [7/22/2026]

Mercury vs. Sparks Under 178.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 21.5%
• Probability: 72.4%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 178.5 points in Mercury vs. Sparks at -104 odds. A 72.4% probability produces an edge of 21.5%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Lynx vs. Storm Under 179.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 21.4%
• Probability: 73.7%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)

Lynx vs. Storm under 179.5 points carries a 21.4% edge and a probability of 73.7% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Sky vs. Liberty Under 179.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 16.0%
• Probability: 68.4%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)

Sky vs. Liberty Under 179.5 points at -110 odds shows a 16.0% edge, supported by a 68.4% probability in simulations.

Wings vs. Fire under 174.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 14.3%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Matchup: Wings vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

A 14.3% edge and 64.8% probability make Wings vs. Fire under 174.5 points a value play in the Wings vs. Fire matchup, per our model.

Sun vs. Fever Under 179.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 14.2%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Sun vs. Fever Under 179.5 points at -110 odds presents a 14.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 66.6%.

Storm +10.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Storm +10.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 6.2%.

Sparks ML (-122)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mercury-Sparks to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -122 odds. A 60.6% probability produces a 5.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Aces vs. Mystics Over 163.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on a 57.7% probability makes Over 163.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Aces vs. Mystics matchup.

Sun +10.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Sun +10.5 at -108 odds. A 57.2% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making Sun the favorable side in today's matchup.

Sparks -1.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Sparks -1.5 at -110 odds shows a 55.3% probability and a 3.0% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 7/22/2026

As of 3:54AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [7/22/2026]

• Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Sky vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Aces vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Wings vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for July 22, 2026, featuring plays such as under 178.5 points in the Mercury vs. Sparks matchup and under 179.5 points in the Lynx vs. Storm matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.