Liberty vs. Wings prediction: New York favored to win Monday's WNBA game [7/20/2026]
Get New York Liberty vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Monday.
WNBA action continues on Monday at 8:00 PM ET as the New York Liberty take on the Dallas Wings at College Park Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Wings game.
The Wings, with star players like Azzi Fudd, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Liberty, featuring Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 60.7% chance of defeating the Wings.
According to our model, the Wings (+4.5) have a 55.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 55.5% chance of staying under,.
Liberty vs. Wings odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +180 |
| Total | o175.5 (-110) | u175.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Wings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wings +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wings | +180 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | fanatics-110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings +4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Wings player props
Betting on New York vs. Dallas WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 20 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Azzi Fudd is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Wings.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Breanna Stewart as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 42 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Pauline Astier | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| Han Xu | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Wings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azzi Fudd | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Jessica Shepard | 13 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 37 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| Aziaha James | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
Liberty vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Wings and Liberty at College Park Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 60.7% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
