Aces vs. Tempo prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [7/20/2026]
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Toronto Tempo and Las Vegas Aces will meet in the WNBA at Coca-Cola Coliseum on Monday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Aces vs. Tempo game.
The Tempo, who have stars like Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Laura Juskaite, will face off against the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Aces an 82.2% chance of beating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Tempo (+10.5) have a 54.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 68.0% chance of staying under,.
Aces vs. Tempo odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-105) | +10.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -550 | +440 |
| Total | o182.5 (-110) | u182.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +10.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Tempo | +440 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Tempo player props
Looking for Las Vegas vs. Toronto WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 18 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 57 |
| Jackie Young | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Chelsea Gray | 10 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 32 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Jewell Loyd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
| I. Harrison | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Laura Juskaite | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Maria Conde | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Julie Allemand | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
Aces vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Tempo and Aces at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with an 82.2% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
