Lynx vs. Storm prediction: Minnesota favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [7/22/2026]
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Seattle Storm and Minnesota Lynx will meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Storm game.
The Storm, powered by Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson, will face off against the Lynx, who feature Kayla McBride, Natasha Howard and Courtney Williams.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 79.6% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+10.5) have a 56.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 71.9% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-105) | +10.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -471 | +413 |
| Total | o178.5 (-105) | u178.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +10.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +413 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Storm player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's Minnesota vs. Seattle game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Olivia Miles striking first with a 13.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| C. Williams | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Olivia Miles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| N. Collier | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 |
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Awa Fam | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
| Jade Melbourne | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
Lynx vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Storm and Lynx at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 79.6% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
