May 15, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, May 15, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Friday's best props include Brittney Griner [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for May 15, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brittney Griner, Caitlin Clark and Shakira Austin.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Aces vs. Sun and Mystics vs. Fever, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Friday, 5/15
Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten WNBA player props for May 15, ranked by probability.
Brittney Griner over 5.5 rebounds (-140)
- Edge: 1.1%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Projection: 7.2
- Game: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Connecticut's Brittney Griner over 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 59.5% gives this play an edge of 1.1% at -140 odds.
Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored (-106)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Projection: 15.2
- Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Caitlin Clark’s points scored prop shows a 7.2% edge at -106 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 15.2 points scored on the under 19.5 line.
Shakira Austin under 8.5 rebounds (-122)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Shakira Austin under 8.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 57.1% probability and a 2.1% edge at -122.
Dearica Hamby over 17.5 points scored (+125)
- Edge: 12.3%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 20.7
- Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Dearica Hamby to record 20.7 points scored today, creating an edge of 12.3% on the over 17.5 line at +125 odds.
Dearica Hamby over 7.5 rebounds (+105)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Projection: 8.7
- Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Dearica Hamby over 7.5 rebounds for Los Angeles, showing an edge of 7.9% at +105 odds.
Shakira Austin over 14.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Projection: 17.6
- Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Shakira Austin’s points scored prop shows an edge of 6.5% at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 17.6 today.
Kiki Iriafen under 9.5 rebounds (-110)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Projection: 8.4
- Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Kiki Iriafen for 8.4 rebounds for Washington, creating an edge of 3.6% on under 9.5 at -110 odds.
Kamilla Cardoso under 9.5 rebounds (+105)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 54.0%
- Projection: 8.8
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Kamilla Cardoso for 8.8 rebounds, creating value on the under 9.5 line at +105 odds and a 5.3% edge.
Nneka Ogwumike over 18.5 points scored (+120)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 53.5%
- Projection: 20.1
- Game: Tempo vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
An 8.0% edge on the over 9.5 points scored line makes Nneka Ogwumike a value play in Tempo vs. Sparks, with our model projecting her for 20.1 points scored at +120 odds.
Kelsey Mitchell under 20.5 points scored (+110)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Projection: 19.0
- Game: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)
Simulations project Kelsey Mitchell for 19.0 points scored here, creating a 5.5% edge on the under 20.5 line at +110 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Friday, May 15, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:46AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Sun | Brittney Griner over 5.5 rebounds | -140 @ DraftKings | 1.1% | 59.5% |
| Mystics vs. Fever | Caitlin Clark under 19.5 points scored | -106 @ FanDuel | 7.2% | 58.6% |
| Mystics vs. Fever | Shakira Austin under 8.5 rebounds | -122 @ FanDuel | 12.3% | 56.8% |
| Tempo vs. Sparks | Dearica Hamby over 17.5 points scored | +125 @ Fanatics | 12.3% | 56.8% |
| Tempo vs. Sparks | Dearica Hamby over 7.5 rebounds | +105 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 56.7% |
| Mystics vs. Fever | Shakira Austin over 14.5 points scored | +100 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 56.5% |
| Mystics vs. Fever | Kiki Iriafen under 9.5 rebounds | -110 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 55.9% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | Kamilla Cardoso under 9.5 rebounds | +105 @ Fanatics | 5.3% | 54.0% |
| Tempo vs. Sparks | Nneka Ogwumike over 18.5 points scored | +120 @ Fanatics | 8.0% | 53.5% |
| Mystics vs. Fever | Kelsey Mitchell under 20.5 points scored | +110 @ Fanatics | 5.5% | 53.1% |
Conclusion
For May 15, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Brittney Griner, Caitlin Clark and Shakira Austin. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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