Jun 22, 2026
World Cup bets today: Two group stage picks for Monday ft. Iraq vs. France [6/22/2026]
Read Article World Cup odds today: Monday's betting preview [June 22]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Complete World Cup 2026 odds and betting guide for today's matches, featuring Austria vs. Argentina, Iraq vs. France, Senegal vs. Norway, and Algeria vs. Jordan, on Monday, June 22.
The group stage of the World Cup 2026 continues today with more great soccer on the menu, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Monday's four matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on June 22. Kicking things off is the match between Austria vs. Argentina at 1pm (ET), followed by Iraq vs. France at 5pm, then Senegal vs. Norway at 8.00pm, before Algeria vs. Jordan closes us out at 11pm.
Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Monday's matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Monday's four World Cup fixtures.
Today's World Cup 2026 odds - June 22
Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the four matches on Monday, June 22, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results in Round 1.
Argentina vs. Austria odds
Kickoff: June 22, 1:00pm (ET)
This Group J clash between Argentina and Austria features two teams coming off victorious opening-day performances. Led by Lionel Messi, Argentina displayed their class with a comfortable 3-0 win against Algeria, while Austria looked sharp in a convincing 3-1 defeat of Jordan. With both sides sitting on three points, this match will go a long way toward deciding who takes the top spot in the group.
The odds have the South American giants as a clear favorite on Monday, forecasting a disciplined, tactical affair. Here is a direct breakdown of the moneyline odds, over/under lines, and top exact score splits.
Moneyline odds: Who will win Argentina vs. Austria?
The straight-up market strongly backs Argentina to secure a second consecutive win, leaving the European side with a narrow window to force a draw or hunt for an upset:
- Argentina to win: 66.2%
- Draw: 21.2%
- Austria to win: 12.6%
Will Messi play vs. Austria?
Yes, following his three goals against Algeria on Matchday 1, Lionel Messi is expected to start for Argentina today against Austria in their Group J matchup at the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Dallas.
Total goals odds (Over/Under 2.5)
Even though both teams found their rhythm in front of the net on Matchday 1, the odds point to a much more controlled tactical approach for this fixture, slightly favoring the under on the standard line:
- Under 2.5 goals: 52.7%
- Over 2.5 goals: 47.3%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The exact scoreline distribution leans heavily toward a clean-sheet victory for the favorites or a tight deadlock, with low-scoring Argentina wins occupying the top two slots:
- Argentina 1-0 Austria: 14.5%
- Argentina 2-0 Austria: 13.7%
- Argentina 1-1 Draw: 9.8%
- Argentina 2-1 Austria: 9.3%
- Argentina 3-0 Austria: 8.6%
Summary: Argentina enters this critical fixture as a definitive 66.2% moneyline favorite. Given that the model favors a lower-scoring script with Under 2.5 goals at 52.7%, a straight bet on the favorites can be enhanced by utilizing alternative markets. Pairing an Argentina victory with Under 2.5 total match goals or backing Argentina to win to nil fits the data perfectly, as the 1-0 and 2-0 clean sheets represent the highest expected individual probabilities on the board.
France vs. Iraq odds
Kickoff: June 22, 5:00pm (ET)
This second round Group I matchup between France and Iraq appears heavily lopsided on paper. France showcased their clinical attack with a commanding 3-1 victory over Senegal, while Iraq faces a significant defensive reset after suffering a tough 4-1 defeat at the hands of Norway.
The predictive data heavily backs Les Bleus to secure a second straight victory on Monday. Here is a direct look at the moneyline odds, the elevated over/under thresholds, and the most likely scorelines.
Moneyline odds: Who will win France vs. Iraq?
The straight-up winner market leaves little room for doubt, installing France as a massive favorite, while Iraq faces an incredibly steep uphill battle to find a result:
- France to win: 87.5%
- Draw: 9.1%
- Iraq to win: 3.4%
Total goals odds (Over/Under 3.5)
In a clear structural setup following high-scoring Matchday 1 fixtures for both sides, the model shifts to an elevated 3.5-goal threshold. The line sits near a dead heat, with a tiny statistical lean toward the under:
- Under 3.5 goals: 52.3%
- Over 3.5 goals: 47.7%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The exact scoreline percentages heavily favor a multi-goal, shutout victory for the favorites, with three of the top four results predicting a clean sheet for France:
- France 3-0 Iraq: 13.7%
- France 2-0 Iraq: 13.3%
- France 4-0 Iraq: 10.5%
- France 1-0 Iraq: 8.7%
- France 3-1 Iraq: 6.8%
Summary: France enters this match as an overwhelming 87.5% favorite. Because their straight moneyline odds offer zero betting value on their own, looking at alternative markets is necessary to build value. Given the model's heavy preference for clean sheets in the correct score data—where a 2-0, 3-0, or 4-0 win leads the way—backing France to win to nil provides a highly logical and supported path.
Norway vs. Senegal preview
Kickoff: June 22, 8:00pm (ET)
The second round of Group I play wraps up with an intriguing clash featuring Norway and Senegal - both of whom are coming off mixed opening performances. Norway lived up to expectations on Matchday 1, securing a commanding 4-1 victory over Iraq behind an impressive brace from Erling Haaland. Meanwhile, Senegal flashed plenty of dangerous attacking moments despite ultimately dropping a 3-1 result to tournament favorites France.
The betting odds have the Lions of Norway as the front-runner to carry their momentum forward, forecasting an active and closely contested match. Here is a breakdown of the moneyline odds, total goals lines, and most probable exact scores.
Moneyline odds: Who will win Norway vs. Senegal?
The straight-up winner market leans toward Norway to lock down their spot at the top of Group I, though the combined probability of a draw or a Senegal bouncing back makes up more than half of the distribution:
- Norway to win: 43.4%
- Senegal to win: 31.2%
- Draw: 25.5%
Total goals odds (Over/Under 2.5)
Reflecting the explosive attacking trends established by both teams in their respective openers, the algorithm expects an open fixture that slightly favors breaking past the standard 2.5 goals line:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 51.0%
- Under 2.5 Goals: 49.0%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The exact scoreline distribution points to an incredibly competitive, fast-paced battle, with a scoring deadlock or single-goal Norwegian victories leading the individual metrics:
- Norway 1-1 Draw: 12.1%
- Norway 1-0 Senegal: 9.9%
- Norway 2-1 Senegal: 9.0%
- Norway 0-1 Senegal: 8.1%
- Norway 1-2 Senegal: 7.4%
Summary: Norway holds the upper hand in this match with a 43.4% 3-way moneyline win probability. Given that, and the model's 51.0% edge toward Over 2.5 total match goals, backing Norway to win or draw using a Double Chance market offers a solid foundation. For those looking to extract more value based on both teams finding the back of the net on Matchday 1, pairing Both Teams to Score (BTTS) with Over 2.5 match goals or a straight play on Over 2.5 goals tracks beautifully with a forecast led by the 1-1 and 2-1 lines.
Jordan vs. Algeria preview
Kickoff: June 22, 11:00pm (ET)
The second round of Group J concludes with both Jordan and Algeria looking to rebound from opening-day setbacks. Algeria fell 3-0 to a dominant Argentina (and Messi) performance, while Jordan dropped a 3-1 result to Austria. With zero points on the board for either side, this matchup is crucial for keeping their qualification hopes alive.
The odds favors the Algerian squad to pick up all three points, anticipating a relatively open game. Here is a breakdown of the moneyline, over/under lines, and top score projections.
Moneyline odds: Who will win Jordan vs. Algeria?
The straight-up market places Algeria as the clear favorite, though the combined probability of a draw or a Jordan victory sits at 38.6%:
- Algeria to win: 61.4%
- Draw: 21.6%
- Jordan to win: 17.0%
Total goals odds (Over/Under 2.5)
Following the high-scoring trends from both teams' opening matches, the model leans toward another game that clears the standard total goals threshold - despite them combining for only one of the six goals scored in their respective Matchday 1 fixtures.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53.5%
- Under 2.5 goals: 46.5%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The exact scoreline distribution reflects Algeria's status as the front-runner, favoring close multi-goal wins or an active draw:
- Jordan 0-1 Algeria: 11.5%
- Jordan 0-2 Algeria: 11.0%
- Jordan 1-1 Draw: 10.3%
- Jordan 1-2 Algeria: 9.9%
- Jordan 0-3 Algeria: 7.1%
Summary: Algeria holds a solid 61.4% win probability in this fixture. Given the model's 53.5% lean toward Over 2.5 total match goals and the presence of scoring patterns in the data, pairing an Algeria victory with and alt line of Over 1.5 total match goals offers a decent option. Alternatively, backing a straight Algeria win or exploring Over 2.5 total goals aligns cleanly with the forecast, where narrow Algerian wins, and the 1-1, lead the score probabilities.
Bet the World Cup 2026 with confidence
The expanded 48-team format means more chaos, more betting opportunities, and more variance in team performance. Having access to Dimers' World Cup predictions gives you a significant edge—whether you’re building World Cup parlays, targeting specific matchups, or just hunting for value across the various player props markets.
Dimers combines deep coverage of every World Cup match with transparent, science-backed player projections so you can bet smarter, understand the “why” behind the numbers, and enjoy betting on the World Cup with confidence.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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