...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
World Series Predictions: Bet on these MLB teams to win it all
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
With the 2026 MLB season just around the corner, we take a look at the Dimers predictions for the World Series to find which teams have value to win it all this season.
With the 2026 MLB season less than two weeks away and the World Baseball Classic nearing its end, MLB betting excitement is ramping up, from World Series predictions to MLB Opening Day best bets.
It's always a good time to look at the MLB futures landscape before the season gets underway and odds start moving, and that's where comparing the Dimers Pro futures model to the sportsbooks' MLB odds becomes especially valuable.
Get a 3-day Dimers Pro free trial in the brand-new Dimers App!
By lining up each team's simulated championship probability against the market price, we can spot which contenders are being overvalued by reputation, and which clubs are quietly offering real betting value.
It's something our model excels at, especially in MLB, having cashed a huge +1300 Blue Jays AL East futures bet last season.
Let's dive into the Dimers World Series Predictions to analyze the Dodgers' quest for a threepeat and which teams can deal a blow to the dynasty.
Can the Dodgers complete World Series threepeat?
After back-to-back World Series championships, the Dodgers find themselves on the brink of an exclusive club with just two other franchises that have won three consecutive titles, the New York Yankees (three times) and the Oakland Athletics.
They only improved in the offseason, adding super slugger Kyle Tucker to their lineup and shoring up the bullpen with RHP Edwin Diaz, and are appropriately the short favorites at +230 odds and a 24.7% Dimers probability.
Perhaps ironically, among the biggest contenders to the Dodgers' throne are the teams they've poached in the offseason, along with the team they took down last year, the Blue Jays.
Taking down the reigning champ is never easy, but history proves that running it back for a third time is a rare feat. A single injury, slump, or simply bad postseason series can flip a team's outlook on its head, and with our model saying the Dodgers aren't quite as long as they should be (+300 fair odds), it becomes imperative to find the teams that could benefit most from that shakeup.
Bet these teams to win the 2026 World Series
That's how the top of the board looks from a surface-level perspective. Now, let's dig into the value identified by the Dimers model, beginning with our top probability behind Los Angeles.
New York Mets (+1500 on BetRivers)
Dimers World Series probability: 9.9%
Dimers' fair odds: +1000
The gap between the Mets' current +1500 odds and their Dimers fair value of +1000 makes them arguably the most compelling value on the board, despite being known for midseason collapses.
The market seems to be mispricing this roster's overhaul. After an 83-79 finish last year, the Mets executed a massive offseason spending spree north of $365 million, replacing departing names like fan-favorite Pete Alonso with All-Star talent to pair with Juan Soto, adding Bo Bichette, Marcus Semien, and Luis Robert Jr.
The pitching side is just as encouraging, adding former Brewers ace Freddy Peralta , fresh off a top-5 finish in the NL Cy Young race, while rookie standout Nolan McLean possesses some of the nastiest stuff in baseball after pitching to a 2.06 ERA in eight late-season starts last year.
The Mets rebuilt with a single purpose - wash away the bad taste of recent failures with a spending spree. The moves transformed the team substantially in our model's eyes, giving them the highest preseason World Series probability they've had in Dimers history at 9.9%, second-highest on the board.
Based solely on the Dimers model's probability vs. the odds, the Mets are the best World Series bet on the board.
Toronto Blue Jays (+1700 on FanDuel)
Dimers World Series probability: 7.6%
Dimers' fair odds: +1215
The reigning American League champions are sitting at a price that seems to underestimate the fact that they took the reigning champs to seven games in the World Series last year.
The Blue Jays enter 2026 as defending AL champions and runners-up in the 2025 World Series with a revamped roster. Dylan Cease, the only pitcher to strike out 200-plus batters in each of the last five seasons, joins a rotation that includes Kevin Gausman, young Trey Yesavage, and veteran Max Scherzer. The front office turned what was a weakness into a strength quickly, and the Blue Jays can now build their identity around the starting pitching.
In the lineup, they lost Bo Bichette to the aforementioned Mets, but added Japanese talent Kazuma Okamoto to offset the loss in the infield, so the offense remains anchored by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is coming off a historic season.
The bullpen, a sore spot in last year's World Series collapse, got a significant boost with the addition of Tyler Rogers, who posted a sub-2.00 ERA in 2025 to complement a 0.94 WHIP last season.
If everything clicks with a retooled roster, the Dimers model suggests this price tag is a significant overpay for the bookmakers on our third-most likely champion.
Chicago Cubs (+2000 on BetMGM)
Dimers World Series probability: 5.5%
Dimers' fair odds: +1720
The Cubs offer a smaller but still meaningful edge compared to their Dimers fair value.
Chicago enters 2026 riding momentum from a 92-win campaign and a Division Series appearance, with the front office staying aggressive by adding Alex Bregman to anchor the infield and acquiring Edward Cabrera to deepen the rotation, despite losing superstar Kyle Tucker to the reigning champs.
Bregman brings a reliable bat, solid defense, and a reputation for postseason leadership, while breakout center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong became the first Cub ever to post a 30-homer, 30-double, 30-steal season and his ceiling could be even higher.
The rotation is where this team could genuinely surprise. Though struggling in this preseason, Cade Horton looked like a legitimate ace down the stretch in his rookie year, posting a 1.03 ERA after the All-Star break, and the Cubs now have six starters with Shota Imanaga, Matthew Boyd, and Jameson Taillon also in the mix.
The NL Central is wide open, but they remain our model's favorite, and it appears the books are underpricing a team with legitimate championship upside.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+8000 on BetMGM)
Dimers World Series probability: 1.8%
Dimers' fair odds: +5450
This is the high-risk, high-upside entry on the list as our 1.8% win probability acknowledges this is a longshot.
The D-backs missed the postseason for the second straight year since making it to the World Series in 2023, and enter the year missing several key contributors from recent seasons, including Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor.
The organization's pitching depth has also been battered by injuries and Arizona will be without co-closers A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez to begin the year.
But, at Dimers we make bets based on he data and the data makes the case for taking a small shot at +8000, resting on the offensive unit. Arizona still has an exciting core in Geraldo Perdomo, Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Gabriel Moreno, and the club showed it can reach the final stage. At a discrepancy of nearly +2500, the Diamondbacks represent the kind of longshot dart that demand a look.
Dimers' MLB betting resources for the 2026 season
- MLB Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every MLB game, every day.
- MLB Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game.
- World Series Odds: Who will win it all?
- Best MLB Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- MLb Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
Responsible gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure