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Toronto vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Chicago MLS game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
Toronto
2
:
2
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field
Chicago
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
J. Elliott (71')
J. Elliott (89')
J. Elliott (o.g.) (28')
D. Mihailovic (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. Mihailovic (Toronto FC) cautioned
90'
Penalty missed by D. Mihailovic for Toronto FC
90'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Mihailovic
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
89'
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
1-2
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces D. Kerr
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
74'
Yellow Card
R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
71'
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Elliott, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
1-1
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Dominguez replaces J. Cifuentes
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces D. Etienne
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces S. Rogers
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces M. Pineda
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces S. Oregel
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Bamba replaces B. Gutierrez
28'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Elliott (o.g.)
1-0
21'
Yellow Card
P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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Toronto vs. Chicago: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toronto +450, Chicago -185, Draw +340

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toronto: 17.7%
  • Chicago: 60.8%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Toronto 0-1 Chicago, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chicago a win probability of 60.8%, while Toronto has a win probability of 17.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our Toronto vs. Chicago predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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