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NY City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Philadelphia MLS game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
NY City
0
1
Oct 4, 11:30PM Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Oct 4, 11:30PM Subaru Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
M. Uhre (40')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces M. Moralez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces I. Vassilev
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces M. Iloski
78'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces H. Wolf
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces B. Damiani
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces A. Martinez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces T. Gray
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces M. Uhre
55'
Yellow Card
B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. O'Neill replaces K. O'Toole
40'
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre, assisted by J. Lukic
0-1
36'
Yellow Card
J. Glesnes (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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NY City vs. Philadelphia: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: NY City +270, Philadelphia -110, Draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-150/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • NY City: 25.7%
  • Philadelphia: 50.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is NY City 1-1 Philadelphia, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Philadelphia a win probability of 50.0%, while NY City has a win probability of 25.7%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our NY City vs. Philadelphia predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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