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San Diego FC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. Houston MLS game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
San Diego FC
4
2
Oct 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Oct 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
Felipe Andrade (15')
Sergio Santos (87')
A. Dreyer (pen.) (53')
L. de la Torre (85')
A. Dreyer (89')
A. Pellegrino (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SD
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: P. McNair replaces A. Dreyer
90'
Yellow Card
L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces Felipe Andrade
90'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by J. Tverskov
4-2
89'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer
3-2
87'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Sergio Santos, assisted by L. Ennali
2-2
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces O. Lingr
85'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by L. de la Torre
2-1
84'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: L. de la Torre replaces A. Godoy
84'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Kumado replaces A. Harangi
83'
Yellow Card
I. Pilcher (San Diego FC) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces Junior Urso
78'
Yellow Card
A. Harangi (San Diego FC) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces C. Baird
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces D. Holmes
53'
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer (pen.)
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces F. Negri
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces H. Lozano
39'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
15'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Junior Urso
0-1

Game Prediction Article

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San Diego FC vs. Houston: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: San Diego FC +140, Houston +185, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-150/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 36.3%
  • Houston: 39.0%
  • Draw: 24.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is San Diego FC 1-1 Houston, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Houston a win probability of 39.0%, while San Diego FC has a win probability of 36.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.7%.

Summary

Our San Diego FC vs. Houston predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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