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Sporting KC vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Minnesota MLS game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Sporting KC
0
3
Oct 5, 12:30AM Allianz Field
Minnesota
Oct 5, 12:30AM Allianz Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
A. Markanich (25')
J. Pereyra (60')
A. Markanich (64')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Gressel replaces B. Hlongwane
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Fitz replaces N. Triantis
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces R. Lod
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: H. Dotson replaces W. Trapp
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: N. Romero replaces A. Markanich
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces L. Ndenbe
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces M. Toye
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Munoz replaces N. Radoja
64'
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by N. Triantis
0-3
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces M. Rodriguez
60'
Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Pereyra
0-2
53'
Yellow Card
Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
25'
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by J. Pereyra
0-1

Game Prediction Article

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Sporting KC vs. Minnesota: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +475, Minnesota -190, Draw +390

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 16.3%
  • Minnesota: 65.2%
  • Draw: 18.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-2 Minnesota, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Minnesota a win probability of 65.2%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 16.3%. The chance of a draw is 18.5%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. Minnesota predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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