Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Italy
1
:
1
Mar 31, 6:45PM Bilino Polje
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Mar 31, 6:45PM Bilino Polje
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIH
Score Summary
ItalyITA
H. Tabakovic (79')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kean (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bastoni (41')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIH
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ITA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
120'
Yellow Card
D. Frattesi (Italy) cautioned
115'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Hadziahmetovic replaces E. Demirovic
114'
Yellow Card
N. Katic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
102'
Yellow Card
T. Muharemovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
91'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: L. Spinazzola replaces F. Dimarco
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: D. Frattesi replaces N. Barella
81'
Yellow Card
G. Donnarumma (Italy) cautioned
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bosnia & Herzegovina by H. Tabakovic
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Kean
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: B. Cristante replaces M. Locatelli
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: D. Burnic replaces A. Memic
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: H. Tabakovic replaces I. Basic
54'
Yellow Card
B. Tahirovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: K. Alajbegovic replaces S. Kolasinac
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: B. Tahirovic replaces I. Sunjic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces M. Retegui
41'
Red Card
A. Bastoni (Italy) sent off with a straight red card
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by N. Barella
1-0

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Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Bilino Polje
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Italy -180, Bosnia and Herzegovina +650, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-142)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Italy: 64.6%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this match is Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina (14.0%).

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Italy is the most likely winner of this match with a 64.6% win probability.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction aims to turn chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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