Iceland vs. Japan International Friendly

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on May 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Iceland
0
1
May 31, 10:25AM New National Stadium
Japan
May 31, 10:25AM New National Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
JapanJPN
Score Summary
IcelandISL
K. Ogawa (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
JPN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ISL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: S. I. Sigurdarson replaces H. Magnusson
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: I. Thorvaldsson replaces K. Hlynsson
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Japan by K. Ogawa, assisted by Y. Sugawara
0-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: H. Hermannsson replaces D. L. Gretarsson
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: S. Taniguchi replaces T. Tomiyasu
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Sano replaces T. Kubo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: T. Hayakawa replaces Z. Suzuki
76'
Yellow Card
S. T. Thordarson (Iceland) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: A. Gunnarsson replaces A. F. Baldursson
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: B. Andresson replaces B. Willumsson
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Goto replaces A. Tanaka
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: T. Watanabe replaces K. Itakura
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Shiogai replaces K. Nakamura
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: Y. Sugawara replaces R. Doan
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Ogawa replaces A. Ueda
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: A. Seko replaces W. Endo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: Y. Nagatomo replaces J. Ito
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: W. T. Willumsson replaces G. Thordarson
33'
Yellow Card
K. Hlynsson (Iceland) cautioned
14'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: H. Ito replaces M. Yoshida

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Iceland vs. Japan: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Iceland vs. Japan
  • Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:25 AM ET
  • Venue: New National Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Iceland +1200, Japan -500, draw +550

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Iceland: 7.3%
  • Japan: 79.1%
  • Draw: 13.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions, including pre-tournament friendly matches, with greater confidence and clarity.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this match is Iceland 0-2 Japan (12.3%).

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Japan is the most likely winner of this match with a 79.1% win probability.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction aims to turn chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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