Poland vs. Sweden Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Poland
2
3
Mar 31, 6:45PM Strawberry Arena
Sweden
Mar 31, 6:45PM Strawberry Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
SwedenSWE
Score Summary
PolandPOL
A. Elanga (19')
Soccer ball icon
G. Lagerbielke (44')
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V. Gyokeres (88')
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N. Zalewski (33')
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K. Swiderski (55')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SWE
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
POL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Grosicki replaces M. Cash
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: M. Svanberg replaces Y. Ayari
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Piatek replaces N. Zalewski
90'
Yellow Card
K. Piatek (Poland) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres
2-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: G. Lundgren replaces B. Nygren
76'
Yellow Card
L. Bergvall (Sweden) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: B. Zeneli replaces J. Karlstrom
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: L. Bergvall replaces A. Elanga
65'
Yellow Card
O. Pietuszewski (Poland) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: O. Pietuszewski replaces K. Swiderski
62'
Yellow Card
J. Karlstrom (Sweden) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by K. Swiderski, assisted by N. Zalewski
2-2
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by G. Lagerbielke, assisted by B. Nygren
1-2
43'
Yellow Card
J. Kiwior (Poland) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by N. Zalewski, assisted by P. Zielinski
1-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by A. Elanga, assisted by Y. Ayari
0-1

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Poland vs. Sweden: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Poland vs. Sweden
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Strawberry Arena
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Poland +300, Sweden +105, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+126/-150)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Poland: 25.7%
  • Sweden: 49.5%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this match is Poland 1-1 Sweden (11.8%).

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Sweden is the most likely winner of this match with a 49.5% win probability.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction aims to turn chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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