Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/13/2026]

Alaves and Barcelona will meet in La Liga at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Wednesday, with kickoff at 3:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Barcelona as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Barcelona game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Alaves and Barcelona, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 27.9% chance of Alaves winning, a 48.7% chance for Barcelona, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

Alaves vs. Barcelona odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Alaves	Barcelona	Draw
+200	+125	+275

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-185	+130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alaves vs. Barcelona picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Barcelona	+125
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+130

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Barcelona to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Alaves vs. Barcelona: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ALV 1-1 FCB	10.8%
ALV 1-2 FCB	9.5%
ALV 0-1 FCB	8.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 40.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Alaves vs. Barcelona game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's La Liga action between Alaves and Barcelona at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Alaves vs. Barcelona
• Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Alaves has a 27.9% win probability on Wednesday, Barcelona has a 48.7% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.