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Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Barcelona predictions for La Liga Wednesday.
Alaves will take on Barcelona in La Liga action at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Wednesday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Barcelona as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Barcelona game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Barcelona prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's La Liga match between Alaves and Barcelona, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 28.5% chance of Alaves winning, a 48.4% chance for Barcelona, and a 23.1% chance of a draw.
Alaves vs. Barcelona odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Alaves | Barcelona | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +230 | +115 | +280 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Barcelona picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Barcelona | +115 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Barcelona to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alaves vs. Barcelona: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 FCB | 10.5% |
| ALV 1-2 FCB | 9.4% |
| ALV 0-1 FCB | 7.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 38.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Barcelona game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's La Liga action between Alaves and Barcelona at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Barcelona
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 28.5% win probability on Wednesday, Barcelona has a 48.4% win probability, and there is a 23.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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