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Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Osasuna predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Alaves and Osasuna will meet in La Liga at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Sunday, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Alaves as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Osasuna.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Osasuna prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Alaves and Osasuna, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 36.2% chance of Alaves winning, a 35.9% chance for Osasuna, and a 27.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. Osasuna odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | Osasuna | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +180 | +215 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +134 | -164 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Osasuna picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Osasuna | +180 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +134 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Osasuna to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alaves vs. Osasuna: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 OSA | 13.1% |
| ALV 1-0 OSA | 11.1% |
| ALV 0-1 OSA | 11% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Osasuna game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Alaves and Osasuna at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Osasuna
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 36.2% win probability on Sunday, Osasuna has a 35.9% win probability, and there is a 27.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Osasuna insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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