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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Real Sociedad predictions for La Liga Saturday.
La Liga action continues on Saturday at 10:15AM ET as Real Sociedad squares off with Alaves at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Real Sociedad game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Alaves and Real Sociedad 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 34.0% chance of Alaves winning, a 36.8% chance for Real Sociedad, and a 29.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 63% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | Real Sociedad | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +175 | +190 | +200 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +145 | -200 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Sociedad | +190 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +145 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Real Sociedad to win.
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 SOC | 13.4% |
| ALV 0-1 SOC | 12.6% |
| ALV 1-0 SOC | 12% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.2% chance of the yes hitting, and a 55.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Real Sociedad game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga action between Alaves and Real Sociedad at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to commence in the USA at 10:15AM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 10:15AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 34.0% win probability on Saturday, Real Sociedad has a 36.8% win probability, and there is a 29.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Real Sociedad insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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