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Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Athletic Bilbao will face Atletico Madrid in La Liga action on Saturday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 34.6% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 37.2% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 28.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Athletic Bilbao | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +190 | +160 | +220 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +112 | -138 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao | +190 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -138 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATB 1-1 ATM | 13.2% |
| ATB 0-1 ATM | 11.6% |
| ATB 1-0 ATM | 11.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.4% chance of the yes hitting, and a 52.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga action between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 34.6% win probability on Saturday, Atletico Madrid has a 37.2% win probability, and there is a 28.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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