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Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche prediction, odds, La Liga picks [2/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Athletic Bilbao vs Elche predictions for La Liga Friday.
Athletic Bilbao and Elche will meet in La Liga on Friday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Elche 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 56.7% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 19.3% chance for Elche, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Athletic Bilbao | Elche | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -155 | +480 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -105 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elche | +480 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -115 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Elche to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Athletic Bilbao win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATB 1-0 Elche | 12.9% |
| ATB 1-1 Elche | 11.3% |
| ATB 2-0 Elche | 11% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.7% chance that both Athletic Bilbao and Elche score, and a 52.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche game-day updates and essential details
Friday's La Liga action between Athletic Bilbao and Elche is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche
- Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 56.7% win probability on Friday, Elche has a 19.3% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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