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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid predictions for La Liga Wednesday.
Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid will meet in La Liga on Wednesday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 26.1% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 48.9% chance for Real Madrid, and a 25.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Athletic Bilbao | Real Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +370 | -118 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao | +370 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Athletic Bilbao to win.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATB 1-1 MAD | 11.9% |
| ATB 0-1 MAD | 10.8% |
| ATB 1-2 MAD | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 47.0% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's La Liga matchup between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid is scheduled to start in the United States at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 26.1% win probability on Wednesday, Real Madrid has a 48.9% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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