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Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Athletic Bilbao vs Villareal predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 3:00 PM ET as Villareal takes on Athletic Bilbao at .
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Villareal, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 41.4% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 32.7% chance for Villareal, and a 25.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Athletic Bilbao | Villareal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +130 | +215 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | -118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Villareal | +215 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -115 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Villareal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATB 1-1 VIL | 12.3% |
| ATB 1-0 VIL | 9.9% |
| ATB 2-1 VIL | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Athletic Bilbao and Villareal is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 41.4% win probability on Sunday, Villareal has a 32.7% win probability, and there is a 25.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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