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Hawks vs. Pistons prediction: Detroit favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons predictions for NBA Wednesday.
NBA action continues on Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Atlanta Hawks take on the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Pistons as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Pistons game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pistons lineup will feature players like Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins and Tobias Harris, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Pistons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Hawks and Pistons, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Pistons a 59% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Pistons winning 115-113.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Hawks and Pistons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Pistons odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-108) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +125 | -140 |
| Total | o229.5 (-108) | u229.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Pistons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks +2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Pistons | -140 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Pistons to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Pistons player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. Detroit NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Little Caesars Arena.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jalen Duren is projected to have 22 points, 12 rebounds and 2 assists for the Pistons.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 52 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| CJ McCollum | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Dyson Daniels | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
Pistons prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pistons:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 45 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 16 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 36 |
| Tobias Harris | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Duncan Robinson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Ausar Thompson | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
Hawks vs. Pistons game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Pistons and Hawks at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Detroit Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pistons, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Wednesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Pistons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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