Get New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Playoffs Saturday.
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA prediction for Game 5 of the Finals series.
The San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks will meet in Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Knicks will look to Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA FInals matchup between the Knicks and Spurs, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs a 70.1% chance of defeating the Knicks in Game 5 of the Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Finals has the Spurs winning 111-105.
According to our model, the Spurs (-5.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 216.5-point over/under has a 51.4% chance of going over,.
Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Knicks
Spurs
Spread
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
Moneyline
+172
-198
Total
o216.5 (-106)
u216.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knicks vs. Spurs picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 player props
Looking for Knicks vs. Spurs NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Jalen Brunson is expected to lead the Knicks with 26 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 29 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the Spurs.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Victor Wembanyama striking first with a 14.1% probability.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 29 points tonight.
The winner of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Knicks and Spurs wins the NBA championship. Game 5 of the best-of-seven series is at San Antonio's Frost Bank Center.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 70.1% win probability, will likely beat the Knicks in Game 5 of the 2026 Finals.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
