Jun 30, 2026
Inside the alleged Malik Beasley, Ed Davis betting scheme
Read Article NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 4 of 2026 Finals
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of NBA slate on 6/10.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 10, 2026—are live with the Spurs' Victor Wembanyama projected as the most likely player to score first in tonight's Game 4 matchup.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Wembanyama, Jalen Brunson and Stephon Castle lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers.
NBA Finals first basket predictions tonight (Game 4, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | 14.7% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 13.3% |
| Stephon Castle | Spurs | 10.6% |
| OG Anunoby | Knicks | 10.4% |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | 10.0% |
| Mikal Bridges | Knicks | 9.7% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 9.5% |
| Julian Champagnie | Spurs | 7.5% |
| Devin Vassell | Spurs | 7.2% |
| Josh Hart | Knicks | 7.1% |
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Game 4 of the 2026 Finals on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, Victor Wembanyama, Jalen Brunson and Stephon Castle lead our first basket projections. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
