NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Walker Kessler [10/23/2026]

Walker Kessler over 7.5 rebounds (52¢)

• Edge: 16.6%
• Probability: 68.1%
• Projection: 11.3
• Game: Clippers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Lakers' Walker Kessler over 7.5 rebounds. A probability of 68.1% gives this play an edge of 16.6% at 52¢ odds.

Kel'el Ware over 3.5 rebounds (53¢)

• Edge: 14.5%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Projection: 7.0
• Game: Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET)

Kel'el Ware’s rebounds prop shows a 14.5% edge at 53¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.0 rebounds on the over 3.5 line.

Alex Sarr over 3.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 16.6%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Projection: 6.7
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Alex Sarr over 3.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 66.6% probability and a 16.6% edge at 50¢.

Stephen Curry over 2.5 3-pointers made (44¢)

• Edge: 20.8%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Projection: 3.9
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Stephen Curry to put up 3.9 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 20.8% on the over 2.5 line at 44¢ odds.

Anthony Davis over 7.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 17.1%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Projection: 9.6
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Anthony Davis over 7.5 rebounds for Wizards, showing an edge of 17.1% at 45¢ odds.

Zach Edey over 7.5 rebounds (52¢)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Projection: 9.3
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Zach Edey’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 8.1% at 52¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 9.3 today.

Brandin Podziemski over 3.5 rebounds (52¢)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Projection: 5.3
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Brandin Podziemski for 5.3 rebounds for Warriors, creating an edge of 7.9% on over 3.5 at 52¢ odds.

Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (-106)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Scottie Barnes for 7.2 assists, creating value on the over 5.5 line at -106 odds and a 8.2% edge.

Kawhi Leonard over 24.5 points (51¢)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Projection: 28.8
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

A 7.6% edge on the over 5.5 points line makes Kawhi Leonard a value play in Raptors vs. Wizards, with our model projecting him for 28.8 points at 51¢ odds.

Naji Marshall over 9.5 points (38¢)

• Edge: 19.4%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Projection: 13.3
• Game: Mavericks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Naji Marshall for 13.3 points here, creating a 19.4% edge on the over 9.5 line at 38¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, October 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:57AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Walker Kessler, Kel'el Ware and Alex Sarr. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.