NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Raptors vs. Wizards play [10/23/2026]

Wizards +5.5 (+116)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +5.5 at +116 odds. A 54.4% probability produces an edge of 8.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Heat ML (+102)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Heat ML carries a 5.5% edge and a probability of 55% at 50¢ odds, according to our model.

Warriors ML (-137)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Warriors ML at -137 odds shows a 4.9% edge, supported by a 62.7% probability in simulations.

Bulls ML (-110)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 54.2% probability makes Bulls at the moneyline a value play in the Bulls vs. Bucks matchup, per our model.

Pacers ML (-208)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 72.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Pacers ML at 68¢ presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 72.1%.

Hawks ML (-135)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Hawks to win at 57¢, supported by an edge of 4.3%.

Heat -1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Heat -1.5 at -102. A 54.8% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Celtics ML (-127)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 60%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)

A 4.0% edge on a 60% probability makes Celtics to win at 56¢a solid value play in today's Knicks vs. Celtics matchup.

Spurs ML (-186)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 69%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Spurs to win at 65¢. A 69% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making Spurs the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Timberwolves ML (-117)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Timberwolves to defeat Magic at 54¢ shows a 57.6% probability and a 3.7% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 10/23/2026

As of 4:01AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [10/23/2026]

• Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Mavericks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Rockets vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Clippers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for October 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Wizards +5.5 vs. Raptors and Heat ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.