Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks NBA prediction for Game 4 of the Finals series.
The New York Knicks will square off with the San Antonio Spurs in Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA FInals matchup between the Spurs and Knicks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Knicks a 59.0% chance of beating the Spurs in Game 4 of the 2026 Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals has the Knicks winning 109-107.
According to our model, the Knicks (-2.5) have a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 216.5 points has a 50.9% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Spurs
Knicks
Spread
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-105)
Moneyline
+115
-132
Total
o216.5 (-110)
u216.5 (-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Knicks picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Wednesday's Spurs vs. Knicks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 29 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 25 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Knicks.
For early game action, the data identifies Victor Wembanyama as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 29 points tonight.
The winner of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Spurs and Knicks gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 4 of the best-of-seven series is at New York's Madison Square Garden.
NBA postseason promo code for Novig
Make the most of Dimers' Spurs vs. Knicks predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Knicks, with a 59.0% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs in Game 4 of the 2026 Finals.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
