NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [6/16/2026]

2. San Antonio Spurs

• Dimers Probability: 22.6%
• Championship Odds: +270

The Spurs have a 22.6% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +270 can be found at BetMGM.

Furthermore, San Antonio is rated with a 33.2% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +150 for this scenario.

As well as supplying these odds and probabilities on the Spurs to win the title, Dimers has NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Victor Wembanyama.

3. Boston Celtics

• Dimers Probability: 12.0%
• Championship Odds: +700

The Celtics are projected to have a 12.0% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +700 at BetMGM.

Boston, lead by Jayson Tatum, is rated with a 29.4% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +225 for this outcome.

Speaking of Jayson Tatum, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Celtics star are hitting their prop lines.

4. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 10.9%
• Championship Odds: +700

The Knicks are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +700 can be found at BetMGM.

Looking at the conference probabilities, New York is rated with a 24.1% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +250 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Brunson and the Knicks will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. LA Lakers

• Dimers Probability: 3.3%
• Championship Odds: +3000

The Lakers are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +3000 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Los Angeles is rated with a 5.6% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +1600 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of June 16, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Atlanta Hawks
• Chicago Bulls
• Memphis Grizzlies
• Utah Jazz

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 6/16/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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