Hawks vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 29 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/11/2026]

The Golden State Warriors will face the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Chase Center on Sunday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Warriors game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and De'Anthony Melton, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Hawks and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 72% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 120-113.

According to our model, the Warriors (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 236.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Hawks vs. Warriors odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hawks vs. Warriors picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 236.5 total points.

Hawks vs. Warriors player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Hawks vs. Warriors game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Hawks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:

Warriors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:

Hawks vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Warriors and Hawks at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Sunday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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