Hawks vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Jalen Brunson projected for big game in Game 5 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Playoffs Tuesday.
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks NBA prediction for Game 5 of the series.
The New York Knicks will face the Atlanta Hawks in Game 5 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Knicks Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature players like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Hawks and Knicks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Knicks a 69% chance of defeating the Hawks in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 109-104.
According to our model, the Hawks (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 214-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Hawks vs. Knicks Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Hawks
Knicks
Spread
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-108)
Moneyline
+210
-250
Total
o214 (-110)
u214 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Knicks picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Knicks Game 5 player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. New York NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 22 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Knicks.
Jalen Brunson is projected to score 25 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Hawks and Knicks, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Knicks, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks in Tuesday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
