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Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/13/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Atletico Madrid vs Valencia predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Atletico Madrid will face Valencia in La Liga action at Metropolitano Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:00AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Valencia 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 68.3% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 12.7% chance for Valencia, and a 19.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico Madrid | Valencia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -310 | +800 | +450 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valencia | +800 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +142 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 2-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATM 2-0 VAL | 12.1% |
| ATM 1-0 VAL | 11.3% |
| ATM 2-1 VAL | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.5% chance that both Atletico Madrid and Valencia score, and a 51.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga action between Atletico Madrid and Valencia at Metropolitano Stadium is scheduled to commence in the United States at 8:00AM ET.
- Who: Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia
- Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
- Time: 8:00AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Venue: Metropolitano Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 68.3% win probability on Saturday, Valencia has a 12.7% win probability, and there is a 19.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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