Spain vs. Austria prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's World Cup 2026 game between Spain and Austria, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 73.9% chance of Spain winning, a 9.3% chance for Austria, and a 16.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.6% chance of going over, with a 56.2% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Spain holds a 46.0% probability to win without conceding, with Austria given a 5.0% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Spain to win or draw at 90.7%.

A quick reminder: standard World Cup markets apply to 90 minutes of regulation play only, excluding extra time unless stated otherwise. This differs from sports like the NBA, where overtime is typically included.

Austria vs. Spain odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Spain	Austria	Draw
-350	+1100	+475

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-145	+126

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spain vs. Austria picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Austria @ +1100 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +126 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Austria @ +1200 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Austria or Draw @ +270 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +125 via BetMGM

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Austria to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Austria's odds provide the best value right now.

Spain vs. Austria: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Spain win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Spain 2-0 Austria	13.6%
Spain 1-0 Austria	11.9%
Spain 3-0 Austria	10.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 56.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Spain vs. Austria player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Thursday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Spain-Austria:

Spain

• Mikel Oyarzabal: 39.9% probability
• Lamine Yamal: 34.0% probability
• Dani Olmo: 22.8% probability
• Alex Baena: 22.6% probability
• Rodri : 12.2% probability

Austria

• Marko Arnautovic: 13.0% probability
• Marcel Sabitzer: 10.2% probability
• Konrad Laimer: 6.6% probability
• Romano Schmid: 6.4% probability
• David Alaba: 4.2% probability

Spain vs. Austria game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's soccer World Cup matchup between Spain and Austria at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Spain vs. Austria
• Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Spain has a 73.9% win probability on Thursday, Austria has a 9.3% win probability, and there is a 16.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.