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Celtics vs. Warriors prediction: Boston favored to win Thursday's NBA game [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Chase Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like De'Anthony Melton, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandin Podziemski, while the Celtics will be led by Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard and Derrick White.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Celtics and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Celtics a 70% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 109-103.
According to our model, the Celtics (-6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 212.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Celtics vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-102) | +6.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +190 |
| Total | o212.5 (-105) | u212.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Celtics -6.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | -225 |
| Total | Over 212.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Celtics -6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Celtics vs. Warriors player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Thursday's Celtics vs. Warriors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 28 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while De'Anthony Melton is projected to have 12 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 28 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 49 |
| P. Pritchard | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Derrick White | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 39 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32 |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Melton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| K. Porzingis | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| B. Podziemski | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Moses Moody | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Pat Spencer | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
Celtics vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Warriors and Celtics at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Thursday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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