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Celtics vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/20/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.

Boston Celtics-Memphis Grizzlies Predictions and Game Preview.
Boston Celtics vs. Memphis Grizzlies NBA prediction for Friday, March 20, 2026.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Boston Celtics will meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Grizzlies game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and Olivier-Maxence Prosper, while the Celtics will be led by Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Derrick White.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Celtics vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Celtics an 87% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 121-108.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+15.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Celtics vs. Grizzlies odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Celtics Grizzlies
Spread -15.5 (-108) +15.5 (-110)
Moneyline -1200 +810
Total o230.5 (-108) u230.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Celtics vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Grizzlies +15.5 -110
Moneyline Grizzlies +810
Total Under 230.5 -110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +15.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Celtics vs. Grizzlies player props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Boston vs. Memphis game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 30 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Ty Jerome is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Grizzlies.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Celtics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jaylen Brown 30 8 6 2 54
Jayson Tatum 25 8 5 3 48
Derrick White 17 4 6 3 38
P. Pritchard 17 4 6 3 34
Neemias Queta 12 10 2 0 33

Grizzlies prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Ty Jerome 17 3 5 2 33
Jaylen Wells 12 3 1 2 21
O. Prosper 12 5 1 2 23
Javon Small 11 4 5 2 28
T. Hendricks 10 5 1 1 23

Celtics vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Grizzlies and Celtics at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Celtics, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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