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Celtics vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Jayson Tatum projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [4/9/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Thursday.

Boston Celtics-New York Knicks Predictions and Game Preview.
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks NBA prediction for Thursday, April 9, 2026.

The New York Knicks will square off with the Boston Celtics in NBA action at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Knicks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature players like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Celtics will look to Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard and Derrick White.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Celtics vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Celtics and Knicks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Knicks a 63% chance of beating the Celtics. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 108-104.

According to our model, the Knicks (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 211.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Celtics vs. Knicks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Celtics Knicks
Spread +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-105)
Moneyline +145 -155
Total o211.5 (-108) u211.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Celtics vs. Knicks picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Knicks -4.5 -105
Moneyline Knicks -155
Total Over 211.5 -108

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Celtics vs. Knicks player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Boston vs. New York game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.

Jayson Tatum is expected to lead the Celtics with 27 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Knicks.

Jayson Tatum 2026.
Jayson Tatum is projected to score 27 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Celtics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jayson Tatum 27 10 6 3 53
P. Pritchard 16 4 5 3 32
Derrick White 16 5 5 3 36
Sam Hauser 10 4 2 3 20
Neemias Queta 10 7 2 0 27

Knicks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Knicks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jalen Brunson 25 3 7 3 45
K. Towns 18 11 3 2 40
OG Anunoby 17 5 2 2 32
Mikal Bridges 13 3 3 2 26
Josh Hart 11 7 5 1 30

Celtics vs. Knicks game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Knicks and Celtics at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Knicks, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Celtics in Thursday's NBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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