Jul 3, 2026
Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Magpies prediction: Suns favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/4/2026]
Read Article Richmond Tigers vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Why Blues are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Richmond Tigers and Carlton Blues will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Blues as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Tigers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Blues and Tigers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Blues an 85.2% chance of beating the Tigers.
Carlton vs. Richmond odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -833 | +500 |
| Line (Spread) | -33.5 (-115) | +33.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Carlton -33.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +500 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Carlton -33.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Tigers and Blues at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: Carlton Blues vs. Richmond Tigers
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with an 85.2% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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