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Bulls vs. Mavericks prediction: Dallas favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Dallas Mavericks will square off with the Chicago Bulls in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Sunday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Bulls vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Cooper Flagg, Max Christie and Klay Thompson, while the Bulls will be led by Leonard Miller, Collin Sexton and Tre Jones.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bulls vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Bulls and Mavericks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mavericks a 69% chance of beating the Bulls. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 125-120.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bulls and Mavericks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 249.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.
Bulls vs. Mavericks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bulls | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-112) | -5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -200 |
| Total | o249.5 (-114) | u249.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bulls vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks -5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | -200 |
| Total | Under 249.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 249.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulls vs. Mavericks player props
Betting on Chicago vs. Dallas NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Leonard Miller is expected to lead the Bulls with 20 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 25 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bulls prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bulls are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Miller | 20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| Collin Sexton | 20 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| Tre Jones | 17 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
| Rob Dillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 31 |
| P. Williams | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 25 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 51 |
| Max Christie | 15 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
| Klay Thompson | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| Khris Middleton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 9 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 30 |
Bulls vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Mavericks and Bulls at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bulls vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mavericks, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Bulls in Sunday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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