Jun 22, 2026
Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/22/2026]
Read Article Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Cubs favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Monday.
The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) will start for the Mets, while the Cubs have opted for Shota Imanaga (4-6, 4.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 50.2% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Cubs vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Cubs and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 50.2% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.8% chance of going over,.
Cubs vs. Mets odds [6/22/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+135) | +1.5 (-159) |
| Moneyline | -122 | +105 |
| Total | o8.5 (-115) | u8.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -159 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +105 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 50.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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