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Read Article Cubs vs. Pirates prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 1:35 PM ET as the Chicago Cubs lock horns with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.
The Pirates will have Carmen Mlodzinski (4-3, 3.96 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Ben Brown (1-2, 2.10 ERA) for the Cubs.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Pirates.
This article offers further insights into Monday's Cubs vs. Pirates matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cubs vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 54% chance of beating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Cubs vs. Pirates odds [5/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cubs | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+137) | +1.5 (-162) |
| Moneyline | -122 | +106 |
| Total | o8 (-115) | u8 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cubs vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cubs -1.5 | +137 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | -122 |
| Total | Over 8 | -115 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cubs vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Pirates and Cubs at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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