Cubs vs. Cardinals prediction: Cubs favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/31/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Sunday.

Chicago Cubs-St. Louis Cardinals Predictions and Game Preview.
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB prediction for Sunday, May 31, 2026.

The St. Louis Cardinals will face the Chicago Cubs, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Busch Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 7:20 PM ET.

Matthew Liberatore (2-3, 4.76 ERA) will be on the bump for the Cardinals, up against Jordan Wicks (0-1, 16.62 ERA) for the Cubs.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Cardinals.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Cubs vs. Cardinals matchup, including best bets and picks.

Cubs vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Cardinals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 54% chance of beating the Cardinals.

According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Cubs vs. Cardinals odds [5/31/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cubs Cardinals
Run Line -1.5 (+152) +1.5 (-183)
Moneyline -103 -110
Total o8.5 (-120) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cubs vs. Cardinals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Cubs -1.5 +152
Moneyline Cubs -103
Total Under 8.5 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cubs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cubs vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Cubs at Busch Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:20 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Cubs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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