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Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +1150 odds [5/31/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, May 31, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for May 31, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1150.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.8% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 22.8% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.1% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 19.4% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.8% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.4% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.1% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.0% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 17.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (22.8%) and Nick Kurtz (20.1%).
Rafael Devers and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [5/31/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.
Taylor Trammell (Astros) to hit a home run
- Probability: 10.9%
- Odds: bet_rivers_in+1150
- Edge: 2.9%
- Game: Brewers vs. Astros (2:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jacob Misiorowski
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Houston slugger Taylor Trammell rates as a value play at +1150 with bet_rivers_in, showing a 2.9% edge.
Set to face Jacob Misiorowski in tonight's Brewers-Astros matchup, the data supports Trammell as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of five home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 31, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Taylor Trammell who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +1150 odds.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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