May 31, 2026
Tigers vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/31/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +1150 odds [5/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, May 31, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for May 31, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1150.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.8% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 22.7% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 19.8% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 19.6% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.7% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 17.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.8% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 17.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go deep, followed by Aaron Judge (22.7%) and Nick Kurtz (19.8%).
Rafael Devers and Shea Langeliers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [5/31/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Taylor Trammell (Astros) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.2%
- Odds: bet_rivers_in+1150
- Edge: 3.2%
- Game: Brewers vs. Astros (2:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jacob Misiorowski
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Houston slugger Taylor Trammell rates as a value play at +1150 with bet_rivers_in, showing a 3.2% edge.
With Jacob Misiorowski on the mound for the Brewers, the data supports Trammell as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 31, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Taylor Trammell who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.2% edge at +1150 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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