MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Dodgers vs. Yankees play [7/18/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Saturday, July 18, 2026.

Today’s MLB picks for July 18, 2026 are here, with Dodgers vs. Yankees and Orioles vs. Astros among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/18, updated 3:13AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, July 18, 2026.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Yankees (8:08PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Yankees at -108 odds. A 57.6% probability produces an edge of 5.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Orioles vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Astros (4:10PM ET)
Orioles vs. Astros over 8.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 57.6% at -108 odds, according to our model.
Blue Jays ML (+106)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)
Blue Jays ML at +106 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 53.8% probability in simulations.
Rangers vs. Braves over 9.5 runs (+122)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 50.2%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Braves (4:10PM ET)
A 5.2% edge and 50.2% probability make Rangers vs. Braves over 9.5 runs a value play in the Rangers vs. Braves matchup, per our model.
Pirates vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Guardians (4:10PM ET)
Pirates vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs at -104 odds presents a 5.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.1%.
Giants vs. Mariners Over 6.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Mariners (8:08PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 6.5 runs in Giants vs. Mariners at -113 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.
Mets ML (+156)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 43.4%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Mets-Phillies to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +156 odds. A 43.4% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Marlins vs. Brewers Over 8.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET)
A 4.2% edge on a 50.7% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +115 odds a solid value play in today's Marlins vs. Brewers matchup.
Mets +1.5 (-133)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET)
Our model projects value on Mets +1.5 at -133 odds. A 61.2% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making Mets the favorable side in today's matchup.
Athletics ML (-117)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Athletics to defeat Nationals at -117 odds shows a 56.9% probability and a 3.0% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Saturday, 7/18/2026
As of 3:13AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Yankees | Over 8.5 runs | -108 @ Polymarket | 5.7% | 57.6% |
| Orioles vs. Astros | Over 8.5 runs | -108 @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 57.6% |
| White Sox vs. Blue Jays | Blue Jays ML | +106 @ Novig | 5.3% | 53.8% |
| Rangers vs. Braves | Over 9.5 runs | +122 @ Polymarket | 5.2% | 50.2% |
| Pirates vs. Guardians | Over 7.5 Runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 5.1% | 56.1% |
| Giants vs. Mariners | Over 6.5 Runs | -113 @ Novig | 4.7% | 57.7% |
| Mets vs. Phillies | Mets ML | +156 @ Polymarket | 4.4% | 43.4% |
| Marlins vs. Brewers | Over 8.5 Runs | +115 @ Novig | 4.2% | 50.7% |
| Mets vs. Phillies | Mets +1.5 | -133 @ Polymarket | 4.1% | 61.2% |
| Nationals vs. Athletics | Athletics ML | -117 @ Novig | 3.0% | 56.9% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/18/2026]
- Twins vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Saturday)
- White Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)
- Reds vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Mets vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET, Saturday)
- Marlins vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Rays vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Orioles vs. Astros (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Cardinals vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Pirates vs. Guardians (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Rangers vs. Braves (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Padres vs. Royals (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Dodgers vs. Yankees (8:08PM ET, Saturday)
- Giants vs. Mariners (8:08PM ET, Saturday)
- Nationals vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Saturday)
- Tigers vs. Angels (10:07PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 18, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Yankees matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Astros matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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