Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/1/2025]

Chicago and Philadelphia are scheduled to meet in the MLS Cup first round at Soldier Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 5:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Chicago as the most likely winner of the Chicago vs. Philadelphia game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win MLS Cup first round matchup?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Chicago and Philadelphia 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 44.4% chance of Chicago winning, a 32.0% chance for Philadelphia, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union - MLS Cup first round odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union MLS Cup first round updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Chicago and Philadelphia in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 5:30PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union
• Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
• Time: 5:30PM ET/2:30PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chicago has a 44.4% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 32.0% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chicago vs. Philadelphia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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